Showing posts with label The Pick. Show all posts
Showing posts with label The Pick. Show all posts

Thursday, November 4, 2021

Friday Gameday: Penrose Champs Until We Ain't

One of the NCHC's most-storied rivalries renews this weekend in Grand Forks 
as Denver travels to take on UND. Photo Credit: GF Herald.
Welcome to November and welcome, in earnest, to the start of our University of North Dakota Fighting Hawks' defense as the back-to-back Penrose Cup champions. The rest of the National Collegiate Hockey Conference has to chase down the green and white if they plan on taking the cup as regular season champions and that chase begins this weekend as hated rival Denver travels to Grand Forks for a two-game series.

UND, ranked No. 8/10 this week, hasn't had a terrific start to the season going just 4-3 in their first seven games including a last week's disappointing loss to Penn State in Nashville, but DDC believes that reigniting the rivalry with the Pios could certainly be a catalyst for the Hawks as conference play kicks off.

DU, ranked No. 11/13, has had a solid 4-2 start to their campaign and is led by a dominant first line of sophomore Carter Savoie, junior Bobby Brink, and senior Cole Guttman. The trio has tallied a whopping 30 points in the Pioneers' six games. 

As UND fans, we all well know what these battles are all about overall and what it means this weekend. Here's what to look for in DDC's weekly "Who? What? How" series preview as NCHC play begins as one of the conference's most bitter rivalries renews inside Ralph Engelstad Arena.

Who?

Players to Watch


University of Denver Pioneers


So. F., Carter Savoie, 6 goals, 6 assists -- 12 points; Sr. F., Cole Guttman, 3g, 6a -- 9pts; Jr. F., Bobby Brink, 3g, 6a -- 9pts; Fr. F., Massimo Rizzo, 5g, 3a -- 8 pts; Jr. G., 3-1-0, 3.12 GAA average, .868 sv%; Fr. G., Matt Davis, 1-1-0, 2.36 GAA, .911 sv%

University of North Dakota Fighting Hawks


So. F., Riese Gaber, 3 goals, 6 assists -- 9 points; So. D., Jake Sanderson, 3g, 5a -- 8pts; Fr. F., Jake Schmaltz, 4g, 4a -- 8pts; Jr. F., Ashton Calder, 4g, 3a -- 7pts; Jr. F., Judd Caulfield, 3g, 3a -- 6pts; Sr. G., Zach Driscoll, 4-3-0, 2.74 GAA, .890 sv%

What?

Standout Stats and Notes


Denver

DU So. Carter Savoie

Denver's top line of Brink (No. 3, +9), Savoie (t-No.8, +8), and Guttman (t-No.8, +8) all rank near the top nationally in plus/minus rating.

Savoie's 6 goals is tied for sixth in the NCAA and his 12 points has him tied for 9th. He is also second in the NCAA with 34 shots on goal.

DU's penalty kill has been a struggle this year with a paltry 59.3% kill rate on the year, 56th out of 59 in NCAA, but their 27.6% power play is 12th in the country. 

Former UND commit, freshman Massimo Rizzo has had a hot start in his first year in college hockey with five goals on the season.


UND


The Fighting Hawks' power play has been solid so far this season, scoring at a 30.8% clip, good for No. 4 in the NCAA. Their 81.3% penalty kill is 28th.

This weekend marks games number 301 and 302 in the long-storied history of UND versus Denver. Those 302 games is the most played against any opponent in the team's history.

UND lost a 6-4 tilt to Penn State last weekend, dropping just their fourth game since 2018 when scoring at least 4 goals. The Hawks are 44-4-2 in that span when scoring four.

How?

How'd they get here?


The Pioneer's last action came two weekends ago when they dropped two games on the east coast, one to Providence College 6-5 and the next night to Boston College, 5-1. Denver (4-2-0) was 4-0 to start the season prior to those back-to-back losses.

UND (4-3-0) returns home after a stinging 6-4 loss to Penn State last Saturday in the U.S. Hockey Hall of Fame Game in Nashville. After starting the season with three-straight wins, the Fighting Hawks have lost three of their last four. 

Both teams are playing their first NCHC action of the season and this will be the only series between the two teams this year. 
Oh, the memories. Photo credit: Sports Illustrated

The Pick

Ahhhh. Good ol' Denver. The memories are endless and the hatred is real. Nick Schmaltz, Robbie Bina, Jesse Martin, Brad Malone, Peter Maninno, and so on, and so on, and so on... To say these teams know each other well is an incredible understatement.

These are always fun, but DDC is nervous for this weekend. These nerves come from two things -- DU's 5 goal a game scoring clip and UND's lack of team scoring and cohesion so far this season. The Green and White lack depth scoring and playing against a team like the Pioneers who is scoring in bunches, DDC fears a shootout, run-and-gun type series. With all of that said, UND's weekend split against Quinnipiac, particularly in their Saturday night win, gives DDC confidence that the Hawks can slow down a solid offensive team. Containing the top line of Brink, Savoie, and Guttman will obviously be the key. These three men have had a dominant start, so UND must find a way to make other players on the ice score goals against them. 

One of those other players, former UND recruit, freshman Massimo Rizzo has shown the ability to pot goals, so this will need to be a defensive performance for the Hawks this weekend. If they can hold the fort like they did against QU, they will be fine this weekend. 

Chemistry, flow, and team gelling has been the bugaboo for UND so far as the development of these pieces just hasn't gotten there. Skating at home, kicking off the NCHC schedule, against a massive rival, there's no better time for this to happen then in this series. DDC is picking a split.

UND takes one Friday, 4-2 and DU rebounds for Splitsville on Saturday, 5-3.

As always, thanks for the read! Check back early next week for DDC's look at how it all went down from the Ralph.



Tuesday, October 26, 2021

QU Review to a Nashville Preview

UND's Connor Ford carries the puck up the ice during the Fighting Hawks'
5-2 loss on Friday in Conn.Photo Credit: Quinnipiac Athletics
DDC is going for the double dip, in this one. With departure for Music City on Thursday, DDC is wrapping up his review last week's split with Quinnipiac together with a nice, little Nashville-hot style sandwich preview of UND's Hall of Fame game with Penn State.

Let's giver a whirl, shall we?

It was a fun weekend of hockey and an un-shocking result. The Bobcats on Friday, paced by four-straight goals after UND took a 1-0 lead, took a 5-2 win. The next night, the Fighting Hawks used a solid defensive effort, paced by 17 blocked shots and a 34-save, 1 goal allowed performance by netminder Zach Driscoll to earn a 3-1 win and a series split.

There were definitely some standout pieces this weekend in Hamden, Conn., so let's take a condensed Roses and Thorns look at them. 

Roses

1) Responding to adversity


To be blunt, the Green and White weren't very good on Friday night. Quinnipiac controlled every facet of the game and took it to UND. The Hawks looked slow, lacked creativity and cohesion, and there started to look like a bit of a lack of effort and that's not something DDC says about a UND game very often, win or lose. DDC expected a bounce back on Saturday and the Hawks bounced back, indeed. Right from puck drop, a noticeable level of hitting started and didn't stop until the final whistle and the Green and White essentially wore down QU with tenacious defense. DDC mentioned to a couple friends that he hadn't seen that level of hitting from UND for a long time and he believes this will likely need to be the way the team wins games for a while as they continue to gel offensively.

2) Jake Sanderson


Ok, so this probably wasn't needed because we're trying to condense, but DDC couldn't let this one go. Look at this frickin' wrister. Seriously. Just look at it. Three minutes into the clip. Goodness, gracious.
An NHL player playing college hockey -- the sophomore assistant captain had a three-point weekend (1g, 2a) and chipped in with a solid defensive performance. Again, enjoy him while he's here. Special, special player.

Thorns

1) General offensive flow, chemistry


We've spoken ad nauseum about the need for this team to gel. Adding 14 players to a squad is a daunting task for any team, and the Hawks showed that a bit on Friday night. Quinnipiac is a solid team with a lot of returners and they shut UND down for the most part in that game. It was a lot of one-and-done rushes, lots of dumps and chase, and not much for solid possession, passing in the zone. There was also a level of visual frustration from several players. Then on Saturday, North Dakota changed to a much more physical, energy-pushing style and generated success. This team needs to gel, still. Here's to hoping the team found a bit of its identity on Saturday.

Nashville, Here we Come

"So come and visit me in Music City. We'll drink all night and write songs no one will sing.
T
here's room for you and your cowboy boots. We'll even get you a rhinestone suit. 
You don't even have to sing on key. Producers with computers can fix it all. 
In Nashville, Tennessee."

After waiting for over a year because of the global bastard that is/was COVID-19, it's time for DDC and the UND faithful to strap on their boots and spurs, travel down to Tennessee, and show Music City, and the Penn State Nittany Lions what we're all about. Let's do a quick breakdown for this non-conference tussle in Tennessee.

Peeking at Penn State

Hailing from the Big 10, Penn State comes into this Saturday's tilt from Bridgestone Arena for the U.S. Hockey Hall of Fame game on a hot 5-1 start, but hasn't exactly faced much for top tier competition. The Nittany Lions have swept Long Island and Niagara (by the same scores UND swept the Purple Eagles, mind you) and split against Canisius. Not exactly murder's row, if you ask DDC. 

PSU has played solid team defense this year, allowing just 1.83 goals per game and boasts the nation's fourth-best penalty kill at 96.4% through six games. Junior forward Kevin Wall leads the Nittany Lions with 7 points and his 6 goals ties him for fourth-best in the NCAA. Between the pipes, PSU has seen a near even split of Oskar Autio and Liam Souliere, both sporting at least a .938 save percentage. 

Penn State had a down 2020-21 season going just 10-12 for the year and missing out on the NCAAs, but has been a solid program since their inception in 2013-14. In their nine-year existence, the Nittany Lions have made the national tournament in three of those seasons and accumulated 137 wins to just 119 losses and 23 ties.

The Pick

Is Penn State as good as their 5-1 start? DDC isn't saying the Nittany Lions aren't good, because that's likely not the case. PSU head coach Guy Gadowsky's legacy has been a strong one since he's coached in the NCAA ranks with Princeton and now the Nittany Lions and he's built PSU up as a contender in his eight seasons in Happy Valley. With that said, DDC doubts PSU has seen the talent level that UND will bring to the Music City on Saturday and that talent level will play a big factor. However, the Fighting Hawks have shown that they can be shut down by solid goaltending and team defense, which Penn State has shown they have this season. What will be the deciding factor?

DDC thinks you all know where he's going with this. The deciding factor is YOU.

What looks like the Penn State independent student newspaper had a line in their preview for this game that DDC will break out here:

"The Nittany Lions and Fighting Hawks will play for the first time ever with the game taking place in Nashville, Tennessee. This means the blue and white's first road game will most likely be in front of a neutral crowd, because of the the neutral site.

DDC's sorry to say, Mr. Jeremiah Hassel, but you haven't seen much of UND fans, have ya? 

Whether it's Omaha, Madison Square Garden, Vegas, Tampa Bay or Minneapolis -- the Green and White faithful, more than any other fanbase in college hockey, show up and show out for our team. 

If you, as a reader, don't think that the fanbase makes a difference in these neutral settings, take a look at our record in these games. Truth is, this fanbase is a difference maker, not only in the noise we make, but in the desire for the players to play well in front of a crowd that has traveled 1,000s of miles to see them play. It's a pride that our fanbase carries and that pride comes back from the players. They want to win and they want to win for US.

With that, the Green and White take this one.

UND SINGS LOUD IN THE MUSIC CITY WITH A 4-2 WIN


Thanks again for reading. DDC will check back in after Nashville, if he survives! 😅





Saturday, April 9, 2016

It's Time to Write History -- Men's Hockey National Championship

UND fans again showed why they're the best in the college hockey world
and they were treated to an epic finish on Thursday. (Photo: GF Herald)
It came in a split second and it resonated in the pit of DDC's stomach.

It's a feeling that he and the rest of the Green and White faithful have become all too familiar with.

A centering pass from the sideboards deflected off of UND junior captain Gage Ausmus' stick and bled through netminder Cam Johnson's five hole and to the back of the net.

Sixteen years of heart-wrenching memories popped to the forefront of DDC's mind. A collective uneasiness could be felt from Tampa, to the Twin Cities, to Grand Forks and back.

Nathan Gerbe. Shawn Hunwick. 0.6.  Jack Eichel.

"Not again," DDC mumbled to himself under his breath.

With nine minutes left to go in the national semifinals, UND was on the ropes as Denver knotted the game at 2-2.

While the narrative of the past 16 years of disappointments flooded the minds of the fans, first-year head coach Brad Berry never lost faith in his team. The sentiment was clear. Not this year. Not this team. They've come too far, fought too hard. It's time for history to change. It's time for the narrative to change.

Denver continued to jump. Johnson continued to come up large in the UND net.

Then, in less than four seconds, the haunting narrative died.

Exactly one minute to go with a faceoff in the Denver zone. Brock Boeser won the draw. Drake Caggiula fired the puck that hit traffic in the slot. Boeser gathered the bounce and fired a backhander towards the net. Nick Schmaltz snagged the shot, stayed on his backhand --- and buried it.

The sophomore forward not only buried the puck to the back of the net ... he buried the narrative.

UND So. F, Nick Schmaltz buried the game-winning goal with 57 seconds left in the third period on Thursday. The Green
and White topped Denver 4-2 to advance to the National Championship game on Saturday. (Photo: Eric Hylden, GF Herald)
An empty netter later, UND was moving on to the national championship game with a 4-2 and the heart-wrenching feeling from Tampa, to the Twin Cities, to Grand Forks and back had been replaced with elation.

With the 16-year run of Frozen Four heartaches shattered, in the post-game press conference, the Green and White had already turned the page.

When asked about his feeling of getting the proverbial national semifinal monkey off their back, the senior Caggiula noted that their job is not over.

"When you first step on the University of North Dakota campus, the first thing you talk about is winning a national championship. For the first three years, we came up short and as a senior class we want to leave this program with a national championship. We're one step closer, there. We're going to get ready for Saturday and hopefully win the national championship we've been working four years for."

UND has their shot.

The Final Box to Check

Two teams are left. Quinnipiac, the No. 1 overall seed in the NCAA tournament, is waiting.

With a 3-2 victory over perennial power Boston College in the first semifinal, the Bobcats are looking to write a narrative of their own.

Quinnipiac is a relative infant to the Frozen Four stage, having made the national championship final just one other time, losing to Yale in 2013, but the Bobcats are looking to make their permanent mark on men's college hockey.

The ECAC champion Bobcats have been at or near the top of the national ranking all season, having lost just three times.

They, like North Dakota, have big aspirations on Saturday night.

Who will be the team to check that final box of season-long goals and hoist the national championship?

The Pick

National Championship game:

North Dakota vs. Quinnipiac -- 7 p.m.
ESPN 2.

Will it be No. 1 for Quinnipiac to cap off a dominant season or will it be No. 8, the long-awaited green banner to hang from the Ralph Engelstad Arena rafters for North Dakota?

Let's get one thing straight. Saturday's title game is featuring the two best college hockey teams in the land. This isn't because they are in the title game, it's because these two teams have shown all season that they belong on this stage. After multiple years of dazzling runs by relative underdog teams like Minnesota Duluth, Yale, Union and Providence, these two teams are the best of the best.

Quinnipiac is dynamic, fast, incredibly structured and very talented in net. Again, this team hasn't just magically lost just three games all season. The Bobcats were relentless against BC in the semifinals and created their goals by flat out outworking the Eagles.

Those superlatives are a mirror image of UND. Each team has the ability to shut their opponent down and bury big-time, clutch goals.

Both teams look to have a key junior forward either out or slowed on Saturday night.

QU junior Hobey Baker finalist Sam Anas battled off a shoulder injury in the ECAC tournament and played through the regionals, but came off the ice in the first period against BC and only came back in a limited role the rest of the way. While he appears ready to play, Anas is nowhere near 100%.

UND Jr. F, Luke Johnson
will likely miss Saturday's
title game after a lower-body
injury forced him out of
Thursday's semifinal victory.
On the other bench, UND junior Luke Johnson collided with a teammate early on in the game on Thursday and never returned to action. He is most likely out for the title game.

For both QU and UND, it's next man up.

With these two teams as about even as can possibly be, what will be the difference?

Both teams are dominant in both zones. QU has the better power play, but UND has the better penalty kill. Both teams have Mike Richter finalist goaltenders.

The media has echoed the difference, in DDC's mind. The X-Factor looks to be talent. Before the average reader fills my comment board, please bear with DDC, here. QU has loads of talent, but the Green and White have just a little bit more.

All season long, UND fans have been treated to a team that has that "It-Factor." That extra special, dynamic, game-breaking, cold-blooded piece that DDC has talked about from the start of the season that separates them from the rest of the pack.

It's the tic-tic-tic-tac-toe goal against Miami.

It's Nick Schmaltz and Brock Boeser (:50 in) toe drags.

It's Drake Caggiula's windmill game winner.

It's Austin Poganski's go-to move.

UND Fr. F, Brock Boeser
is DDC's pick National Title
game-breaker pick.
The "It-Factor".

And for the first time in 16 years, that will make the difference as North Dakota takes home the title.

The National Championship game-breaker: Freshman Forward, Brock Boeser. This kid has been special. And as he has so many times this year, Boeser will do it again, scoring UND's eventual national championship-winning goal in the third period.


UND RAISES IT -- THEIR FIRST NATIONAL CHAMPIONSHIP SINCE 2000, 4-2.



Thursday, April 7, 2016

The Pick(s) -- Frozen Four Semifinals

Frozen Four National Semifinals, Amalie Arena, Tampa Bay, FL:
Both games on ESPN 2.

Semifinal No. 1 -- Boston College vs. Quinnipiac, 4 p.m.
Semifinal No. 2 -- Denver vs. North Dakota, 7:30 p.m.

The ice is fresh, the teams are rested and the hype is high.

It's win or go home.

Boston College versus Quinnipiac. Denver versus North Dakota.

It's time for the Frozen Four from Amalie Arena in Tampa.

In semifinal No. 1, the top seeded Bobcats are looking to permanently stamp their names on the college hockey landscape. The Eagles are trying to continue their decade plus of dominance and advance to the title game for the seventh time since 2001.

In semifinal No. 2, legendary rivals Denver and UND faceoff for the sixth time on the year. Thursday's contest is by far the biggest. Can the Green and White snap out of their national semifinal funk and head to the title game? Can the Pioneers upend their NCHC foe and advance to the championship for the first time since 2005?

DDC has delved into both Thursday semifinals and is ready to give you his picks as to who will move on to Saturday's national championship game.

The Pick(s)

Semifinal No. 1 -- Boston College vs. Quinnipiac


To say these two teams are evenly matched statistically is nothing short of an understatement.

Both are in the top 5 in scoring offense and top 7 in scoring defense. Both sport top 9 power plays and top 5 penalty kills. Both have game-breaking goaltenders that are near the top of the stats pile. Both are undefeated on the season when leading after two periods.

While QU Michael Garteig is certainly a solid netminder, Boston College goaltender Thatcher Demko is a Hobey Baker Hat Trick and Mike Richter finalist and with his huge size and excellent mobility, is an absolute force. Demko has a ridiculous 10 shutouts on the year and gives the Eagles the slight edge in the nets. He will need to keep that going against the Bobcats if BC plans on playing on Saturday night.

So, where does the advantage lie?

As it often does come playoff time, DDC sees this game won with special teams as it's all but a toss up 5-on-5 and one stat stood out most to DDC when looking at this matchup -- BC is fifth in the country in penalty minutes, averaging 14.4 per game.

Despite that high number of PIMs, the Eagles are fourth in the NCAA in penalty kill. On the other side, Quinnipiac has the fourth-best power play.
Quinnipiac So. F, Sam Anas
is DDC's pick for semifinal
No. 1's game breaker.

This is where DDC thinks the Bobcats capitalize.

QU junior forward Sam Anas and senior forward Travis St. Denis have been game changers this season with the extra man as the pair is tied for second nationally with 10 power play goals a piece.

DDC sees one of these two potting a big-time extra man goal in a big-time spot to move the Bobcats on to Saturday.

Semifinal No. 1's game breaker: Quinnipaic forward, Sam Anas. Look for the dynamic forward to net the game winner on the power play late.


QUINNIPIAC EDGES BOSTON COLLEGE, 4-3.


Semifinal No. 2 --  Denver vs. North Dakota


Hold on one second. DDC needs a Xanax. Ok, thanks. Let's make a pick.

DDC noted in his preview of this game that the rivalry is a mere side note, but the familiarity of these two teams, particularly in 2015-16, is very important. Denver knows UND is loaded offensively and sports a dynamic D-corps that is capable of taking over a game. The Green and White knows the Pioneers are tremendous on the rush and have a top line that can score with anyone in the country.

So, much like in the first semifinal between QU and BC, where does the advantage lie?

DDC believes it's in the line matchups.

North Dakota has the advantage of the last change being the higher seed and this has proved incredibly important for the Green and White down the stretch.

Throwing out the Frozen Faceoff 1-1 tie, in the other four contests between the two this season, the team with the last change got home sweeps.

When UND swept Denver in Grand Forks in December, the Green and White were able to pair their top 4 defensemen against DU's top line. Then, when the Pioneers got their sweep of UND in Colorado in February, the newly minted Pacific Rim line of Danton Heinen, Dylan Gambrell and Trevor Moore got good matchups and took advantage.

With the last change on Thursday, UND will have the opportunity to group their top D-men and their "Heavy Line" of Luke Johnson, Rhett Gardner and Austin Poganski against DU's top line. The Heavy Line was the difference in the Midwest Regional as the trio went to work with a monster forecheck against Northeastern's top forwards and the vaunted CCM Line of Michigan that denied time and space.

UND Sr. F, Drake Caggiula
is DDC's pick for semifinal
No. 2's game breaker.
With the Heavy Line occupying the time of DU's Pacific Rim, UND's CBS line of Drake Caggiula, Brock Boeser and Nick Schmaltz should have more opportunities to create and pace the North Dakota attack.

If UND can lock it down defensively and get solid netminding from Cam Johnson like they did in Cincinnati, they should have plenty enough scoring to move on.

Semifinal No. 2's game breaker: UND forward, Drake Caggiula. The senior has had a penchant for big goals in his career and DDC sees Caggiula netting the Green and White's fourth goal to put away the Pioneers.


NORTH DAKOTA SHAKES OFF THEIR NATIONAL SEMIFINAL STRUGGLES AND BEATS DU, 5-2.


Exhale.

There you have it. Who will be left standing after the semis? Check back later to see who's moving on and who's going home. Thanks for reading.